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Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?
51%
33
98 comments
98
AGI Outcomes
Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
22%
6
3 comments
3
by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?
Resolved :
No
21
9 comments
9
To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?
Resolved :
No
27
14 comments
14
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?
3%
12
9 comments
9
Ragnarök Series
Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050?
10%
12
8 comments
8
Will functional respirocytes be used successfully in any mammal before 2035?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
12
37 comments
37
Ragnarök Series—results so far
31
34 comments
34
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
47%
6
5 comments
5
Ragnarök Series
Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?
60%
6
2 comments
2
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