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After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?
19.7
44
36 comments
36
AGI Outcomes
Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?
99%
30
83 comments
83
Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?
55%
9
3 comments
3
AGI Outcomes
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
30%
55
18 comments
18
Ragnarรถk Series
Are we in a simulated reality? Part I
Resolved :
No
24
19 comments
19
What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?
165
10
8 comments
8
AGI Outcomes
Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?
12.6
-13
46 comments
46
After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
44.3
35
47 comments
47
AGI Outcomes
The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?
2050-11-11
15
6 comments
6
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