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Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

26

Will a citizen of the People's Republic of China be declared a 2019 Nobel Prize winner?

6

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

9

Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?

3

When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments?

Resolved :Oct 2, 2023

10

After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?

35

When will an AI win a Nobel prize for the first time?

10

Will transformative AI come with a bang?

13

AI Progress Essay Contest

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

14

AI Demonstrations

When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?

3