Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
35%
Estonia
28%
Poland
28%
9 others
9
7 comments
7
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
97%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election?
Conservative
51.4%
Labour
35%
Progress
15.2%
7 others
1
4 comments
4
When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the US passenger car fleet?
2028-06-07
29
32 comments
32
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
15
20 comments
20
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?
Resolved :
No
5
93 comments
93
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?
Resolved :
5.28
4
9 comments
9
How many countries will be considered "full democracies" (score higher than 8) by The Economist in 2021?
Resolved :
21
4
5 comments
5
Will any top ten meat global processor/producer go bankrupt by 2023?
Resolved :
No
6
4 comments
4
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?
21%
7
3 comments
3
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
Load more