Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?
20%
323 forecasters
43
46 comments
46
What percent of US energy will be produced by nuclear fission power in 2050?
10.2
47 forecasters
14
11 comments
11
When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?
2049-06-10
88 forecasters
19
9 comments
9
When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?
2078-05-25
151 forecasters
25
22 comments
22
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?
2049-08-17
73 forecasters
27
38 comments
38
When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
138 forecasters
47
46 comments
46
Will there be 36 or more private fusion-energy companies in 2022?
Resolved :
No
89 forecasters
9
19 comments
19
What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?
7.27
23 forecasters
8
1 comment
1
What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?
2025:
4.25
81 forecasters
12
9 comments
9
Forecasting Our World in Data
When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?
Qwp ≥ 1
Dec 7, 2039
Qsci ≥ 5
Dec 22, 2034
13
7 comments
7
Load More