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What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
End of 2024:
3.5k
42 forecasters
6
22 comments
22
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
75%
Vietnam
72%
9 others
6
8 comments
8
Chinese AI Chips
condition
US Restricts China's Cloud Compute Access?
14 forecasters
if yes
if no
NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years (End of 2024)
3.44k
NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years (End of 2024)
3.48k
1
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025?
0.2%
79 forecasters
6
17 comments
17
Will there be an emergency shutdown at a Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) facility before January 1, 2025?
1%
33 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
AI in China
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
15%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
3%
1 other
6
no comments
0
Chinese AI Chips
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
98.5%
≤3 nm
84%
≤2 nm
28.3%
10
5 comments
5
Chinese AI Chips
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD
4%
Google
3%
Nvidia
2%
7
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?
Q1 (FY2025, ends Apr 2024):
13.9
11 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
How many 8"-equivalent wafers will SMIC ship in each quarter of 2024?
Q3 (ends Sep 2024):
1.9M
7 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Chinese AI Chips
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