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Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
98.5%
≤3 nm
86%
≤2 nm
28.3%
10
5 comments
5
Chinese AI Chips
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
73.1%
Vietnam
70%
9 others
6
6 comments
6
Chinese AI Chips
What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
End of 2024:
6
22 comments
22
condition
LLM cyberattack/virus/worm before 2025?
if yes
if no
NVIDIA stock below $250 before 31 Dec 2024?
1%
1%
NVIDIA stock below $250 before 31 Dec 2024?
1%
1%
1
1 comment
1
Conditional Cup
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
98%
4
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?
20%
2
9 comments
9
condition
US Restricts China's Cloud Compute Access?
if yes
if no
NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years (End of 2024)
3.12k
NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years (End of 2024)
3.2k
1
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?
Q1 (FY2025, ends Apr 2024):
13.9
6
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of U.S. or U.S.-allied AI chips before 2027?
33%
5
4 comments
4
Chinese AI Chips
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?
53%
3
no comments
0
Chinese AI Chips
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