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When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
2025-02-25
58
100 comments
100
Effective Institutions Project
Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates?
1%
1
36 comments
36
Will OpenAI claim GPT-5 is AGI within 30 days after its release?
1%
5
20 comments
20
AGI Outcomes
Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
13%
17
70 comments
70
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025?
OpenAI GPT-4, not optional
5%
Anthropic AI Claude, not optional
3%
GitHub Copilot, optional
1%
3 others
6
1 comment
1
Business of AI
Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025?
1%
8
13 comments
13
Will the listed AI companies/labs practice implementing emergency response plans before January 1st, 2025?
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
2%
Google DeepMind
1%
5
4 comments
4
AI Safety
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
98%
4
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before January 1st of the following years?
2031
25%
2026
15%
9
3 comments
3
Business of AI
Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?
9%
6
4 comments
4
AI Safety
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