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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Ukraine
25%
Israel
20%
Pakistan
10%
5 others
6
8 comments
8
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?
4%
432 forecasters
9
10 comments
10
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
69%
Saudi Arabia
20%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?
9
61.9%
10
35%
11
10%
4 others
4
12 comments
12
How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?
2024
30
2025
27.7
2027
19.7
3 others
3
6 comments
6
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
27%
247 forecasters
28
15 comments
15
Ragnarรถk Series
Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?
11%
223 forecasters
37
35 comments
35
How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?
1.02
139 forecasters
26
45 comments
45
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
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