Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
316
15 forecasters
10 comments
10
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?
58%
241 forecasters
49
85 comments
85
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
90.9
14 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?
Resolved :
Yes
31 forecasters
6
7 comments
7
Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?
Resolved :
Yes
50 forecasters
2
8 comments
8
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?
Resolved :
No
76 forecasters
9
1 comment
1
Pandemic Series (2018)
When will the first baby be born away from Earth?
2058-10-25
80 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?
2032-09-30
46 forecasters
13
8 comments
8
How many influenza-associated pediatric deaths will there be in Virginia during the 2021-2022 flu season?
Resolved :
1
21 forecasters
-1
9 comments
9
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3
Polygenic Selection of Embryos
21
6 comments
6
Metaculus Journal Archives
Load More