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Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?

430 forecasters

8

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

485 forecasters

59

102 comments102

Superconductor Frontiers

Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?

173 forecasters

24

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

396 forecasters

34

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

149 forecasters

21

Clinical trials of a "universal" snakebite antidote?

5

Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?

130 forecasters

47

Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?

4

Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will we see evidence that Piracetam is a more effective Alzheimer's treatment than Memantine by 2021?

9

What will the community average log-score be after the 500th question?

Resolved :0.155

5