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Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?
51%
32
98 comments
98
AGI Outcomes
Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?
1%
8
7 comments
7
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025?
2%
15
37 comments
37
Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?
1%
59
102 comments
102
Superconductor Frontiers
How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?
65.5
7
16 comments
16
In how many of the 50 US states will it be legal to use psilocybin for therapy on December 31, 2025?
3.83
2
3 comments
3
Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?
3%
7
5 comments
5
Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?
Resolved :
No
21
8 comments
8
Clinical trials of a "universal" snakebite antidote?
Resolved :
No
5
5 comments
5
Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?
Resolved :
No
47
14 comments
14
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