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If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?
21.9%
18 forecasters
1
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
If there's a non-test detonation of a state's nuclear weapon by 2050, will the first such detonation be accidental/unauthorised?
20.9%
16 forecasters
1
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project