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Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
1%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
12
19 comments
19
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
35%
Estonia
28%
Poland
28%
9 others
9
7 comments
7
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
70%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?
15%
43
74 comments
74
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
12
6 comments
6
Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?
Resolved :
No
6
2 comments
2
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will the INF treaty functionally continue past 2025?
Resolved :
No
3
41 comments
41
How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
2
8 comments
8
Animal Welfare Series
[Short Fuse] Will Warsaw (the capital of Poland) become a red epidemic zone before the 24th of October 2020?
Resolved :
Yes
3
41 comments
41
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