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Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?
Resolved :
Yes
37 forecasters
11
17 comments
17
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic nomination?
Resolved :
No
230 forecasters
28
35 comments
35
By November 2020 will a prediction made by a prediction aggregation platform be quoted in the NYT or WaPo on an issue not in politics, sports, or prizes?
Resolved :
No
156 forecasters
21
37 comments
37
Foresight 2020 Contest
Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?
Resolved :
No
51 forecasters
9
17 comments
17
Will it turn out that Bloomberg manipulated 2020 election prediction markets?
Resolved :
No
79 forecasters
7
29 comments
29
Will 538 outperform PredictIt forecasting the 2020 Presidential Elections?
Resolved :
Yes
109 forecasters
14
51 comments
51
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
Resolved :
No
202 forecasters
22
119 comments
119
Will any prediction market cause users to lose at least $1M before 2023?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
70 forecasters
9
19 comments
19
Will PredictIt be open for trading in the US on March 16, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
88 forecasters
8
37 comments
37
Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023?
Resolved :
No
50 forecasters
7
11 comments
11
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