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By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

241 forecasters

49

Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?

1459 forecasters

221

146 comments146

By January 1, 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days?

270 forecasters

37

When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?

104 forecasters

19

AI Demonstrations

Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?

6

Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?

139 forecasters

38

A is in the I of the beholder #1: Wait, is this video for real?

103 forecasters

8

AI ambiguity Series

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

149 forecasters

21

Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?

8

AI Demonstrations

Will RoboCup announce that robots have beaten professional human soccer players before 2050?

277 forecasters

34