MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

2024 US Election Hub

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?

2

Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?

18

Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?

3

Parasites in mosquitos to prevent viruses in mosquitos: deployed in 2017?

Resolved :Ambiguous

1

Pandemic Series (2018)

Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?

13

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

51

A rigorous GWU study is set to determine precisely how many Puerto Ricans died because of Hurricane Maria: what will that number be?

Resolved :Above upper bound

4

How many US states and territories will have an ACS GINI coefficient over 0.5 by 2025?

1

If Washington DC and Puerto Rico are not admitted as new states, will Republicans hold the Senate from 2022 to 2030?

7

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

15