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Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
73.1%
Vietnam
70%
9 others
6
6 comments
6
Chinese AI Chips
When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?
2031-01-01
2
3 comments
3
What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
End of 2024:
6
22 comments
22
Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
5%
12
22 comments
22
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
AI-Fizzle
32.04%
Futurama
26.42%
AI-Dystopia
15.99%
2 others
31
160 comments
160
AGI Outcomes
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Aug 5, 2027
Waymo
Jan 2, 2027
Any Service
Dec 11, 2026
10
95 comments
95
Will a Fields medalist have spent at least a year trying AI safety research before the following years?
2036
19%
2030
13.8%
2026
2%
6
no comments
0
Future of AI
Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?
20%
2
9 comments
9
Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?
99%
27
26 comments
26
AI Demonstrations
Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?
99%
42
69 comments
69
AI Demonstrations
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