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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

31

210 comments210

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

20

Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?

2

Will the INF treaty functionally continue past 2025?

3

How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?

Resolved :Below lower bound

2

Animal Welfare Series

By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine?

133 forecasters

15

Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries?

717 forecasters

29

106 comments106

Ukraine Conflict

How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?

Resolved :Below lower bound

4

Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?

308 forecasters

11

Ukraine Conflict

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

9