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Will Donald Trump face a significant primary challenge in 2020?
Resolved :
No
233 forecasters
23
42 comments
42
Will the next assassination of a sitting US President occur after January 1, 2100?
28.1%
228 forecasters
14
23 comments
23
How much will President Trump govern by decree?
Resolved :
1.05
71 forecasters
7
20 comments
20
Will the INF treaty functionally continue past 2025?
Resolved :
No
63 forecasters
3
41 comments
41
How many electoral college votes will Donald Trump win in the 2020 Presidential Election?
Resolved :
232
162 forecasters
27
30 comments
30
"Foot Voting" Coordination Efforts
17
6 comments
6
Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?
4%
50 forecasters
10
8 comments
8
Regulation of AI
Will Ron DeSantis become US president by 2029?
1%
162 forecasters
11
16 comments
16
When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?
> 2052
57%
2044
12%
2052
11%
6 others
6
6 comments
6
How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?
2025:
9.53k
77 forecasters
8
10 comments
10
Forecasting Our World in Data
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