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Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?
30%
8
26 comments
26
Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?
Resolved :
No
7
3 comments
3
A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious
Resolved :
No
5
12 comments
12
AI ambiguity Series
Will RoboCup announce that robots have beaten professional human soccer players before 2050?
55%
34
57 comments
57
AGI Outcomes
Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?
Resolved :
No
11
21 comments
21
Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?
9
5 comments
5
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
58%
85
79 comments
79
Ragnarök Series—results so far
31
34 comments
34
Ragnarök Series
When will there be at least 5 billion internet users?
Resolved :
Apr 15, 2022
9
9 comments
9
How does the process at Metaculus compare to the Delphi method?
8 comments
8
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