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Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

554 forecasters

87

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

6

OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?

Human Extinction by 2100

Human Extinction by 2100

14

Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?

7

A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious

5

AI ambiguity Series

Will RoboCup announce that robots have beaten professional human soccer players before 2050?

277 forecasters

34

Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?

11

Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?

9

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31

Ragnarök Series

When will there be at least 5 billion internet users?

Resolved :Apr 15, 2022

9