Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many nations will there be in the United Nations by 2050?
197
35 forecasters
10
14 comments
14
Who will win the 2024 presidential election in South Sudan?
No election is held in 2024
99.3%
Deng Bol Aruei
0.3%
Salva Kiir Mayardit
0.1%
3 others
2
7 comments
7
2024 International Elections Hub
Before 30 November 2019, will an Ebola health worker be injured or killed in an attack against an Ebola facility inside the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, or Tanzania?
Resolved :
No
53 forecasters
5
19 comments
19
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
65 forecasters
15
20 comments
20
How many UN member states will there be in 2070?
198
17 forecasters
9
7 comments
7
Verity
How many FAO domestic food price warnings in spring 2023?
Resolved :
16
18 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024?
South Sudan
No
India, Israel or Pakistan
No
4
18 comments
18
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?
8%
64 forecasters
11
36 comments
36
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
Libya
Feb 6, 2029
Syria
Jan 17, 2029
Myanmar
Jan 12, 2029
3 others
7
10 comments
10
Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?
23.7%
14 forecasters
3
17 comments
17
Load More