Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
๐บ๐ธ
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
32%
147
237 comments
237
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years?
2024:
3%
10
15 comments
15
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
2025:
2.74
12
13 comments
13
๐ฐ The Sagan Space Tournament ๐ฐ
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
25%
36
44 comments
44
Verity
When will a Turkish mission make a hard landing on the Moon?
2030-01-01
4
3 comments
3
Autocrat Public Figures Series
Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?
Resolved :
No
4
5 comments
5
Pandemic Series (2018)
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
12
6 comments
6
When will a fifth nation launch a person into space?
2030-03-07
11
6 comments
6
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
26%
28
15 comments
15
Ragnarรถk Series
When will North Korea have a McDonald's?
2045-08-07
21
12 comments
12
Load more