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Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
35%
Estonia
28%
Poland
28%
9 others
9
7 comments
7
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
70%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?
80%
9
22 comments
22
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?
Resolved :
No
6
2 comments
2
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
How many United Nations Security Council Resolutions concerning Syria will be vetoed by Russia between 22 April 2018 and 22 August 2018?
Resolved :
0
2
1 comment
1
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
How many civilians will be killed in Syria in September 2019, according to the Syrian Network for Human Rights (SNHR)?
Resolved :
118
2
3 comments
3
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
35.2k
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
15
20 comments
20
Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024?
Resolved :
No
20
18 comments
18
Nuclear Risk Tournament
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