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Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?
Resolved :
Yes
82 forecasters
14
25 comments
25
Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11?
Resolved :
Yes
163 forecasters
35
165 comments
165
Will the Taliban capture downtown Kandahar before the start of Ramadan?
Resolved :
Yes
9 forecasters
16
14 comments
14
When will the Taliban take Kabul?
Resolved :
Aug 15, 2021
77 forecasters
21
39 comments
39
Will Zablon Simintov, the last remaining Jew in Afghanistan, leave before Kabul is captured by the Taliban?
Resolved :
No
24 forecasters
8
20 comments
20
Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?
Resolved :
No
135 forecasters
14
48 comments
48
Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?
45%
48 forecasters
3
19 comments
19
Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?
68.5%
63 forecasters
13
9 comments
9
Will Pakistan recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?
80%
58 forecasters
7
4 comments
4
Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?
10%
39 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
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