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Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
99%
39 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard by June 30, 2023?
Resolved :
No
205 forecasters
12
41 comments
41
What will be the combined annual revenue of Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent in 2023?
Resolved :
Annulled
49 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
AI in China
What will be the market cap of Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent in 2023?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
62 forecasters
3
8 comments
8
AI in China
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?
58%
44 forecasters
7
6 comments
6
Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?
Resolved :
Yes
159 forecasters
10
7 comments
7
Effective Institutions Project
When will a Chinese AI Lab train a model with at least 2.1E+24 FLOPs (~10% of GPT-4)?
Resolved :
May 28, 2024
14 forecasters
2
7 comments
7
AI in China
Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
76 forecasters
5
22 comments
22
condition
Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?
Resolved :
Yes
9 forecasters
if yes
if no
Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known
2026-04-19
Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known
2025-11-23
Resolved :
Annulled
4
no comments
0
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of U.S. or U.S.-allied AI chips before 2027?
33%
29 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
Chinese AI Chips
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