Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
๐บ๐ธ
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
20%
4
8 comments
8
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?
Resolved :
No
5
93 comments
93
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
How many deaths will be caused by terrorism globally in 2025?
22.6k
3
6 comments
6
Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war
no comments
0
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?
2023:
18.6k
5
5 comments
5
Forecasting Our World in Data
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
11 comments
11
