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Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
5%
12
22 comments
22
In which year will Tesla officially unveil a new passenger vehicle, possibly called the Model 2, priced under $25,000?
Not before 2027
48.53%
2026
24.05%
2025
22.15%
1 other
8
22 comments
22
Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?
75%
25
19 comments
19
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Aug 5, 2027
Waymo
Jan 2, 2027
Any Service
Dec 11, 2026
10
95 comments
95
Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?
20%
2
9 comments
9
Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?
5%
56
53 comments
53
How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?
474k
4
18 comments
18
When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?
2029-05-25
33
44 comments
44
Business of AI
Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?
16%
27
70 comments
70
When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?
L5
Apr 4, 2030
L4
Oct 20, 2020
L3
Apr 15, 2021
9
121 comments
121
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