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Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

2

Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?

5

Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?

288 forecasters

28

Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?

3

Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?

9

Before 8 September 2018, will the UK request an extension to Article 50 for leaving the EU?

7

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Will Theresa May be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2019?

16

Will UK have general elections before 29 March 2019?

7

Will the first draft of Brexit withdrawal agreement be rejected?

Resolved :Ambiguous

7

Will there be another 'in-out' referendum on Brexit before 29th March 2019?

6