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Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?
1%
28
60 comments
60
Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?
1%
2
4 comments
4
Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?
Resolved :
Yes
5
2 comments
2
Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?
Resolved :
No
28
31 comments
31
Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?
Resolved :
No
3
5 comments
5
Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?
Resolved :
No
9
7 comments
7
Before 8 September 2018, will the UK request an extension to Article 50 for leaving the EU?
Resolved :
No
7
7 comments
7
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will Theresa May be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
16
24 comments
24
Will UK have general elections before 29 March 2019?
Resolved :
No
7
9 comments
9
Will the first draft of Brexit withdrawal agreement be rejected?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
7
14 comments
14
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