Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Forecasting OWID Commenting Prize Winners
8
3 comments
3
Forecasting Our World in Data
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?
0.1%
159 forecasters
16
23 comments
23
Superconductor Frontiers
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
1%
89 forecasters
9
8 comments
8
Superconductor Frontiers
Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?
1%
43 forecasters
2
9 comments
9
Superconductor Frontiers
Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?
Resolved :
No
110 forecasters
24
12 comments
12
Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?
5%
184 forecasters
21
8 comments
8
What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
1.2ร10ยนโท
124 forecasters
41
43 comments
43
When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
138 forecasters
47
46 comments
46
Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?
53%
18 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Ultraviolet Catastrophes and Turbulence
14
1 comment
1
Load More