Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Aug 5, 2027
Waymo
Jan 2, 2027
Any Service
Dec 11, 2026
10
95 comments
95
When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?
L5
Apr 4, 2030
L4
Oct 20, 2020
L3
Apr 15, 2021
9
121 comments
121
Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?
46%
8
4 comments
4
How many level 2 or greater public charging stations will be available for light vehicles in the United States at the beginning of the listed year?
2025:
69.4k
5
2 comments
2
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?
Resolved :
No
15
12 comments
12
Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?
Resolved :
No
14
11 comments
11
When will a hyperloop test reach 250 mph?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
13
15 comments
15
When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?
2030-12-28
29
47 comments
47
When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?
2030-07-16
12
11 comments
11
Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021?
Resolved :
No
22
28 comments
28
Load more