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When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2032-06-11
176
486 comments
486
AGI Outcomes
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2027-11-12
201
476 comments
476
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will an AI successfully masquerade as human for 20 questions by 2017?
Resolved :
No
48
10 comments
10
What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
1.6e17
41
43 comments
43
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
80%
70
108 comments
108
AGI Outcomes
How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?
1.37
6
7 comments
7
AGI Outcomes
As of July 1, 2022, when will top forecasters expect the first Artificial General Intelligence to be developed and demonstrated?
Resolved :
Jun 2, 2030
13
12 comments
12
Will a 'Turing Test' for plant-based meat be passed if such a test is conducted by April 2023?
Resolved :
Annulled
18
42 comments
42
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
When will the Loebner Prize award a silver medal for an AI that passes the Turing test?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
2
5 comments
5
Human-Level Language Models
36
16 comments
16
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