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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
2026-01-07
218 forecasters
34
61 comments
61
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
69%
Saudi Arabia
20%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
Will the minimum wage in Tรผrkiye (Turkey) increase again before 2025?
8%
21 forecasters
2
3 comments
3
Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?
3.2%
54 forecasters
7
11 comments
11
Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoฤan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?
Resolved :
No
133 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?
Resolved :
No
125 forecasters
6
2 comments
2
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2025?
99%
206 forecasters
24
20 comments
20
In the year ending November 2nd, 2020, will blockchain-enabled systems be applied to issues of substantial geopolitical importance?
Resolved :
No
147 forecasters
11
13 comments
13
Foresight 2020 Contest
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