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Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
35%
Estonia
28%
Poland
28%
9 others
9
7 comments
7
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
70%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
2026-01-10
31
45 comments
45
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
97%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Will the minimum wage in Tรผrkiye (Turkey) increase again before 2025?
9%
2
3 comments
3
Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2025?
99%
24
20 comments
20
When will a Turkish mission make a hard landing on the Moon?
2030-01-01
4
3 comments
3
Autocrat Public Figures Series
Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?
7%
4
3 comments
3
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoฤan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018?
Resolved :
No
6
5 comments
5
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
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