Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
49%
73
141 comments
141
Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?
Pennsylvania
37.84%
Wisconsin
16.81%
Michigan
15.34%
10 others
7
36 comments
36
How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
93.42%
More than 100
6.28%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
90 comments
90
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
2%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
12
17 comments
17
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
34%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
8
30 comments
30
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
35%
Estonia
28%
Poland
28%
9 others
9
7 comments
7
Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals?
New York Liberty
Yes
Minnesota Lynx
No
Las Vegas Aces
No
9 others
6 comments
6
Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?
59%
11
15 comments
15
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
69%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
What will President Joe Biden's net approval rating be on November 1, 2024?
-13.3
4
23 comments
23
Load more