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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
92.51%
More than 100
7.19%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
91 comments
91
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
5%
13
63 comments
63
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
3%
11
19 comments
19
Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?
Resolved :
No
10
2 comments
2
Will Cuba still be a communist state in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
29
51 comments
51
Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?
48%
8
14 comments
14
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Western Pacific Region, outside of China and Taiwan, by March 27?
Resolved :
17.9k
4
5 comments
5
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many communist states will there be in 2050?
4.84
22
43 comments
43
If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?
35%
2 comments
2
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
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