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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
89.89%
More than 100
9.81%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
95 comments
95
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
5%
109 forecasters
15
66 comments
66
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
75%
Vietnam
72%
9 others
6
8 comments
8
Chinese AI Chips
condition
Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025?
19 forecasters
if yes
if no
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
2%
2%
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
0%
0%
1
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?
Resolved :
No
119 forecasters
10
2 comments
2
Will Cuba still be a communist state in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
240 forecasters
29
51 comments
51
Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?
48%
70 forecasters
8
14 comments
14
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Western Pacific Region, outside of China and Taiwan, by March 27?
Resolved :
17.9k
41 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
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