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Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
69%
Saudi Arabia
20%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
How many people will be estimated to have died of famine in Yemen before 2022?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
56 forecasters
16
27 comments
27
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
35.2k
53 forecasters
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Future Perfect 2021 Series
7
1 comment
1
Future Perfect 2021 Series
Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025?
Resolved :
No
62 forecasters
16
37 comments
37
Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration?
Resolved :
Yes
64 forecasters
9
20 comments
20
Verity
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
Libya
Feb 6, 2029
Syria
Jan 17, 2029
Myanmar
Jan 12, 2029
3 others
7
10 comments
10
Will the oil transfer from the FSO Safer finish in 19 days?
Resolved :
Yes
93 forecasters
6
31 comments
31
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will the submarine cables running through the Red Sea be damaged by a hostile actor before the 15th of March?
Resolved :
No
162 forecasters
14
88 comments
88
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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