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Will humans go extinct before 2100?
1%
72
329 comments
329
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
10%
13
61 comments
61
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?
Flu
7.69
RSV
3.23
Combined
17.5
1 other
8 comments
8
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
25%
137
196 comments
196
If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
1.57
7
46 comments
46
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?
Flu
Jan 10, 2025
Combined
Jan 6, 2025
COVID-19
Jan 3, 2025
1 other
1
9 comments
9
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?
61%
21
10 comments
10
Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?
1%
13
16 comments
16
Biosecurity Tournament
Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?
1%
8
7 comments
7
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2024?
340
6
44 comments
44
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
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