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Will the domestic opening weekend box office revenue of The Lord of The Rings: The War of the Rohirrim, scheduled to open December 13, 2024, exceed $20,000,000?

The Community Prediction will be revealed on

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Drake's Equation 7th parameter L: For how many years does a civilization remain detectable?

161 forecasters

29

Fermi Paradox Series

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

356 forecasters

55

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

247 forecasters

28

Ragnarök Series

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

161 forecasters

34

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

371 forecasters

38

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

265 forecasters

34

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

191 forecasters

18

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

145 forecasters

13

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

6

Ragnarök Series