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Will the CDC confirm a case of Marburg virus disease in a US resident before January 1, 2025?

Closed

31 forecasters

no comments0

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

condition

Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?

2 forecasters

if yes

if no

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

The Community Prediction will be revealed on

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

The Community Prediction will be revealed on

5 comments5

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

109 forecasters

66 comments66

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

20%

52 forecasters

22 comments22

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?

Milk recall due to H5N1

0.9%

US officials warn against drinking milk

0.1%

Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milk

0.1%

15 comments15

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.27

37 forecasters

49 comments49

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

10 forecasters

4 comments4

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?