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Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2025?

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

15

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

7

Will the Universe end?

510 forecasters

31

Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c (> 1)?

9

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

127 forecasters

11

Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c?

6

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

5

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

6

Five Years After AGI

Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?

16