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Forecast With GiveWell: Share Insights > Earn Prizes
11
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0
Forecast With GiveWell
A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source
28
342 comments
342
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?
Closed
43
46 comments
46
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?
Closed
29
6 comments
6
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?
Closed
13
3 comments
3
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?
Closed
11
11 comments
11
Pandemic Series (2018)
Will mean log-odds outperform median log-odds for the next 1000 questions?
Closed
10
9 comments
9
Can AI outperform superforecasters by 2030?
no comments
0
Threshold 2030 (Day One)
The Top500's total sum in 2030 as a multiple of the total sum in 2015
Closed
7
3 comments
3
Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024?
Closed
5
17 comments
17
Nuclear Risk Tournament
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