Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the CDC confirm a case of Marburg virus disease in a US resident before January 1, 2025?
Closed
31 forecasters
no comments
0
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will the Dairy Recall Tracker maintained by the Center for Dairy Research show more than 1 recall for December 2024?
3 forecasters
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
no comments
0
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
194
15 forecasters
2
10 comments
10
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
89.89%
More than 100
9.81%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
95 comments
95
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
condition
Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?
2 forecasters
if yes
if no
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
5 comments
5
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?
United Kingdom
55%
United States
Yes
Zambia
Yes
12 others
13 comments
13
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
5%
109 forecasters
15
66 comments
66
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?
December 21, 2024
12.2k
December 7, 2024
5.52k
November 23, 2024
2.06k
9 others
9 comments
9
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
20%
52 forecasters
9
22 comments
22
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?
RSV: December 28, 2024
43.4
RSV: March 29, 2025
47.7
Influenza: December 28, 2024
50.7
3 others
1
19 comments
19
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Load More