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Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

31

160 comments160

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

356 forecasters

55

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

371 forecasters

38

Ragnarök Series

Are we in a simulated reality? Part I

146 forecasters

24

Are we in a simulated reality? Part II

281 forecasters

1

Playing God Question Series

7

Playing God Series

Ragnarök Question Series: overview

14

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

230 forecasters

21

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31

Ragnarök Series

The black swan

16