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Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures

4

Forecast With GiveWell Comment Deadline Extended to End of December ($2,250 in Prizes Available)!

13

Will the study of supplying eyeglasses to near-vision impaired adults in Kenya and India find a boost to household consumption of the following levels?

6

Forecast With GiveWell

Predictions as Public Works Project — What Metaculus Is Building Next

12

How much will GiveWell update its cost-effectiveness estimate of GiveDirectly based on the results of the 2023-2024 follow-up of the Cash Transfers Study by UC Berkeley?

4

Forecasting OWID Commenting Prize Winners

8

Forecasting Our World in Data

Open Sourcing Metaculus

20

A Case for Nuanced Risk Assessment

10

Metaculus Journal Archives

Will the listed AI companies/labs have merge and assist clauses on January 1st 2025?

Google DeepMind

4

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

7

Effective Institutions Project