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What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
58%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
19
7 comments
7
Biosecurity Tournament
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
2%
581 forecasters
58
109 comments
109
Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?
Closed
180 forecasters
15
8 comments
8
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?
Resolved :
No
83 forecasters
9
4 comments
4
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?
Closed
238 forecasters
43
46 comments
46
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?
Resolved :
No
81 forecasters
12
1 comment
1
Pandemic Series (2018)
[closed] How many human infections of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be estimated to occur before 2021?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
74 forecasters
14
95 comments
95
How many infections of COVID-19 will be estimated to have occurred before 2021? [50k-1B range]
Resolved :
Above upper bound
334 forecasters
139
356 comments
356
How many people will die as a result of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) before 2021?
Resolved :
5.08M
546 forecasters
172
270 comments
270
How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkin's CSSE on February 3rd?
Resolved :
17.5k
43 forecasters
9
14 comments
14
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