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Will the Federal Register list 1 or 2 executive orders by President Joe Biden for December 2024?
Closed
31 forecasters
no comments
0
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will the Federal Register list exactly zero executive orders by President Joe Biden for December 2024?
Closed
32 forecasters
no comments
0
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will the Federal Register list 3 or more executive orders by President Joe Biden for December 2024?
Closed
32 forecasters
no comments
0
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 1, 2025?
Closed
31 forecasters
no comments
0
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
99.9%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0.1%
Kamala Harris
0.1%
17 others
312
3.9k comments
3.9k
If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?
Kamala Harris
96%
Ron DeSantis
93%
Nikki Haley
92.5%
5 others
6
11 comments
11
Will a US Bitcoin strategic reserve be announced before 20 January 2029?
48%
10 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
20%
112 forecasters
11
55 comments
55
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?
61%
260 forecasters
20
24 comments
24
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?
3%
227 forecasters
19
17 comments
17
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