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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

31

210 comments210

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

20

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?

Resolved :35.2k

5

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?

14

Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?

22

Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11?

163 forecasters

35

165 comments165

Will the Taliban capture downtown Kandahar before the start of Ramadan?

16

When will the Taliban take Kabul?

Resolved :Aug 15, 2021

21

Will Zablon Simintov, the last remaining Jew in Afghanistan, leave before Kabul is captured by the Taliban?

8

Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?

135 forecasters

14