Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?
88.6
47 forecasters
14
15 comments
15
If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?
37.1
60 forecasters
17
14 comments
14
How many species of pangolin will survive to 2050?
5.87
16 forecasters
1
3 comments
3
How many confirmed deaths from COVID-19 will be reported globally in 2022?
Resolved :
1.22M
37 forecasters
10
13 comments
13
Omicron: What We Know, What To Expect, & What To Do
39
2 comments
2
What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO โState of food security and nutrition in the worldโ annual report?
Resolved :
900
48 forecasters
4
14 comments
14
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 2
What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2025?
4.01
22 forecasters
9
6 comments
6
What percentage of global primary energy consumption will be produced by Nuclear Power in 2040?
7.27
23 forecasters
8
1 comment
1
Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Bangladesh
No
Pakistan
No
Papua New Guinea
No
6 others
9
4 comments
4
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
When will a large language model with a context window of at least 5 million tokens be freely accessible to anyone?
2025-04-06
10 forecasters
5
12 comments
12
Load More
