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Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?
Resolved :
Yes
37 forecasters
11
17 comments
17
Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?
Resolved :
No
57 forecasters
8
14 comments
14
Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?
Resolved :
No
83 forecasters
14
20 comments
20
Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?
Resolved :
No
51 forecasters
9
17 comments
17
Will 538 outperform PredictIt forecasting the 2020 Presidential Elections?
Resolved :
Yes
109 forecasters
14
51 comments
51
What will the community median's Brier score (at closing time) be when the Metaculus has 300 predictors per question?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
40 forecasters
10
21 comments
21
When will the Metaculus Community break its worst prediction record?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
4 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
When will the Metaculus Community break its worst prediction record?
Resolved :
Nov 15, 2022
11 forecasters
17
3 comments
3
More Is Probably More โ Forecasting Accuracy and Number of Forecasters on Metaculus
23
5 comments
5
Predictive Performance on Metaculus vs. Manifold Markets
19
6 comments
6
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