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Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?
5%
35 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025?
62%
29 forecasters
1
10 comments
10
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?
14%
42 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Regulation of AI
On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?
4.24
29 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
Will the California drought ease significantly this Winter?
Resolved :
No
30 forecasters
3
5 comments
5
Will marijuana be voted legal in California in 2016?
Resolved :
Yes
176 forecasters
24
6 comments
6
Will the California Drought end in 2017?
Resolved :
Yes
107 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?
Resolved :
No
72 forecasters
5
12 comments
12
How wet will California's 2017-2018 winter be?
Resolved :
14.9
39 forecasters
3
4 comments
4
A major United States earthquake by 2023?
Resolved :
No
319 forecasters
36
65 comments
65
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