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Will a vaccine targeted at the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) be administered to at least 10,000 people in 2020?

284 forecasters

55

173 comments173

Will it turn out that Covid-19 originated inside a research lab in Hubei?

Resolved :Ambiguous

881 forecasters

137

370 comments370

When will a vaccine targeted at the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) be administered to at least 10M people?

Resolved :Jan 30, 2021

138 forecasters

34

Will a RNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved for use in the United States or European Union before 2022?

112 forecasters

9

The Salk Tournament for coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Vaccine R&D

24

When will Disneyland reopen?

Resolved :Apr 30, 2021

6

LRT 2.4: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?

4

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

When will an efficacious COVID-19 vaccine obtain emergency use authorization in the United States?

Resolved :Dec 11, 2020

11

Will AstraZeneca's vaccine turn out to be significantly more effective with a 1.5 dose compared to 2 full doses?

Resolved :Ambiguous

21

When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be widely available for adults in the United States?

Resolved :Apr 19, 2021

135 forecasters

45