Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?
35%
622 forecasters
47
182 comments
182
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
0.8%
216 forecasters
20
123 comments
123
Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025?
3%
50 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
99%
89 forecasters
8
14 comments
14
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
2026-04-13
79 forecasters
18
23 comments
23
Verity
Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%
166 forecasters
9
23 comments
23
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
25%
274 forecasters
36
44 comments
44
Verity
Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025?
0.1%
175 forecasters
24
80 comments
80
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?
Resolved :
No
128 forecasters
31
32 comments
32
Load More